Pre-tourney Rankings
San Diego
West Coast
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.3#224
Expected Predictive Rating-3.4#224
Pace68.0#155
Improvement+6.5#8

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#207
Improvement+2.6#52

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#237
Improvement+3.9#30
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2011 161   Stephen F. Austin W 66-61 49%     1 - 0 +2.1 -2.5 +4.7
  Nov 20, 2011 95   Montana L 60-73 31%     1 - 1 -11.2 -11.7 +0.9
  Nov 26, 2011 335   Alcorn St. W 66-65 86%     2 - 1 -13.7 -8.5 -5.1
  Nov 27, 2011 186   Tulane L 46-65 42%     2 - 2 -20.3 -18.7 -4.4
  Dec 03, 2011 241   @ UC Irvine L 79-99 42%     2 - 3 -21.2 -4.1 -14.4
  Dec 07, 2011 46   San Diego St. L 62-74 21%     2 - 4 -6.7 -1.9 -5.9
  Dec 10, 2011 282   Maine W 77-63 75%     3 - 4 +3.6 +1.1 +2.7
  Dec 13, 2011 110   UC Santa Barbara L 61-65 35%     3 - 5 -3.3 -9.8 +6.3
  Dec 17, 2011 64   @ Stanford L 55-75 10%     3 - 6 -9.2 -9.3 -0.2
  Dec 22, 2011 205   South Alabama L 62-68 45%     3 - 7 -8.1 -11.9 +3.9
  Dec 31, 2011 45   @ BYU L 52-88 8%     3 - 8 0 - 1 -23.8 -17.5 -3.1
  Jan 05, 2012 38   St. Mary's L 72-78 17%     3 - 9 0 - 2 +0.7 +0.2 +0.4
  Jan 07, 2012 149   Loyola Marymount L 68-79 45%     3 - 10 0 - 3 -13.1 -10.9 -1.1
  Jan 12, 2012 289   @ Santa Clara W 75-62 53%     4 - 10 1 - 3 +8.8 -2.2 +11.3
  Jan 16, 2012 45   BYU L 63-82 20%     4 - 11 1 - 4 -13.6 -7.7 -5.1
  Jan 19, 2012 286   @ Portland W 82-63 53%     5 - 11 2 - 4 +15.1 +12.4 +4.1
  Jan 21, 2012 29   @ Gonzaga L 60-77 6%     5 - 12 2 - 5 -2.5 -3.8 +0.7
  Jan 26, 2012 287   Pepperdine W 65-56 76%     6 - 12 3 - 5 -1.8 -2.7 +2.1
  Jan 28, 2012 137   @ San Francisco L 70-84 20%     6 - 13 3 - 6 -8.3 -2.5 -5.9
  Feb 02, 2012 38   @ St. Mary's L 73-84 7%     6 - 14 3 - 7 +2.5 +12.4 -11.2
  Feb 04, 2012 289   Santa Clara W 70-65 77%     7 - 14 4 - 7 -6.0 -12.7 +6.7
  Feb 09, 2012 287   @ Pepperdine W 70-57 53%     8 - 14 5 - 7 +9.0 +6.4 +4.3
  Feb 11, 2012 137   San Francisco L 70-81 42%     8 - 15 5 - 8 -12.1 -12.3 +1.1
  Feb 16, 2012 286   Portland W 78-75 OT 76%     9 - 15 6 - 8 -7.7 -8.5 +0.4
  Feb 18, 2012 251   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 63-72 45%     9 - 16 -10.9 -6.8 -5.0
  Feb 23, 2012 149   @ Loyola Marymount W 60-57 22%     10 - 16 7 - 8 +7.7 -3.6 +11.7
  Feb 25, 2012 29   Gonzaga L 57-65 15%     10 - 17 7 - 9 -0.3 -2.1 +0.4
  Mar 01, 2012 287   Pepperdine W 76-54 65%     11 - 17 +14.6 +8.7 +7.9
  Mar 02, 2012 45   BYU L 68-73 13%     11 - 18 +3.8 -1.9 +6.0
Projected Record 11.0 - 18.0 7.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 100.0% 100.0
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%